| WORLD
POLICY JOURNAL
CODA:
Volume XV, No 3, FALL 1998
The Deceitful
Dream
James Chace
Despite the
turmoil that seems to exist in much of the world at the end of the
twentieth century "the century of total war," as French sociologist
Raymond Aron called it the prevailing wisdom in America seems
to be that free markets and democracy will bring about peace and
prosperity. If only the poor benighted Albanians, Afghans, and Arabs
could modernize their economies, all might be well. If only unstable
Russia were able to fully privatize its economy and collect its
taxes, prosperity would follow and a stable, happy people would
threaten no one.
It seems demonstrable
that free markets do eventually produce a greater degree of well-being
than centralized, planned economies. If countries can survive the
often radical therapy required to bring them into a market system,
in time a more prosperous populace is likely to emerge. Then there
is the question of democracy. Are democracy and market capitalism
together the recipe for happiness? Following in the footsteps
of Immanuel Kant, many American scholars now believe that democracies
do not make war on one another, and therefore, perhaps as Kant envisaged,
we can look forward to an age of "perpetual peace." In short,
democracyóusually interpreted in this country to mean free elections,
freedom of speech, and freedom of worshipólinked to the magic of
the free market will bring not only prosperity but peace among nations.
But is this so? Will China and Russia, someday rich and stable,
Russia already a democracy, China presumably on a democratic path,
behave in a benign fashion? Or, as The Economist recently
suggested, will they turn malign? According to a study by the Los
Angeles-based RAND Corporation, malignity will occur only if they
fail economically.
The American
Founding Fathers, however, did not believe that prosperous republics
were necessarily peaceloving. In The Federalist (VI), Alexander
Hamilton inveighed against those who believe in the possibility
of perpetual peace among states. "The genius of republics (say they)
is pacific; the spirit of commerce has a tendency to soften the
manners of men, and to extinguish those inflammable humors which
have so often kindled into wars." But, he asked, "have republics
in practice been less addicted to wars than monarchies?... Are not
popular assemblies frequently subject to the impulses of rage, resentment,
jealousy, avarice, and of other irregular and violent propensities?"
Hamilton points
out that "Sparta, Athens, Rome, and Carthage were all republics;
two of them, Athens and Carthage, of the commercial kind. Yet they
were as often engaged in wars, offensive and defensive, as the neighboring
monarchies of the same times." In (for Hamilton) more modern times,Venice,
Holland, and Britain were all great trading powers, and all were
engaged in "furious contests" for domination of the seas. In Britain
in particular, where "the representatives of the people compose
one branch of the national legislature...few nations, nevertheless,
have been more frequently engaged in war; and the wars in which
that kingdom has been engaged have, in numerous instances, proceeded
from the people."
Hamilton, believing
his case proved, asks Americans not to suppose that we are exempt
from the imperfection of other societies. He implores us "to awake
from the deceitful dream of a golden age and to adopt as a practical
maxim for the direction of our political conduct that we, as well
as the other inhabitants of the globe, are yet remote from that
happy empire of perfect wisdom and perfect virtue."
But that does
not mean that Americans should not continue to espouse the blessings
of democracy, which must include the institutions of liberty (the
rule of law, the checks and balances that prevent demagogic parliaments
and despotic leaders from exercising decisive control over events),
as well as the free market. If Hamilton were with us today, he would
surely exhort us to endorse these policies. Therefore, even while
we should admit that we are indeed not free of "the evils incident
to society in every shape," we can nonetheless strive, both for
ourselves and for others, to achieve a model of a free economy tempered
with social justice and social democracy. This may not bring about
perpetual peace, but it is a realist policy with strong moral underpinnings.
And it is in the American grain.
James Chace
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