| WORLD
POLICY JOURNAL
CODA:
Volume XVI, No 1, SPRING 1999
The Age
of Anxiety
James Chace
W. H. Auden
called the low, dishonest decade of the 1930s, with its global depressions
and rise of the dictators, the "age of anxiety." But, in retrospect,
that decade seems to have been more an age of disillusionment, or
worse, a prelude to destruction. As the twentieth century closes,
the great European civil war, followed by the Cold War, merits French
sociologist Raymond Aron's appellation, "the century of total war."
What about fin-de-siècle
America? A world without certainties is surely an anxious world;
certainties come when you have something to rebel against, some
belief that there is a world elsewhere that can be seized and inhabited
if you can find it and then storm and occupy its ramparts.
The new globalized
economy that has been sweeping the world in the wake of the Cold
War was supposed to bring to the world's citizenry peace, or at
least prosperity. But the past decade has been riven by inequality
and subject to fits of violence (witness Bosnia, Kosovo, Rwanda,
Sudan, Chechnya, Indonesia, Afghanistan). Both at home and abroad
the rich grow richer and the poor poorer.
What, if anything,
is to be done? If you contemplate America's place in an anarchic
universe, then surely things are as good as they get. The Clinton
administration says we are on the threshold of an era of budget
surpluses, which will amount to nearly $4.5 trillion over the next
15 years. Inflation, already low, slipped to .7 percent in the fourth
quarter of last year. America's gross domestic product--the total
in goods and services produced--sped ahead at a 6.1 percent annual
rate of increase in the final quarter of 1998. That made last year
the third consecutive year in which the economy had expanded at
a nearly 4 percent pace.
At the same
time, Americans worry about the education of their children, who
are dangerously behind children in many other nations in their command
of science and math, and a health care system that is determined
by insurance companies rather than by doctors. But it is possible,
as anxiety worsens, that a future administration, working with a
congressional majority, will actually tackle these problems with
the vigor of a Roosevelt--be it Theodore or Franklin.
Internationally,
a far more confusing picture emerges. What is America's responsibility
abroad? There is at the moment no longer a direct threat to American
interests, as was the case during the Cold War when we found ourselves
having to contain the Soviet Union. Instead, the United States,
as is evident from the bombing last August of targets in Afghanistan
and Sudan in retaliation for the terrorist attacks against American
embassies in East Africa, seems to be engaged in an effort to put
much of the world to rights.
This past December,
President Clinton said that the purpose of our raids against Iraq's
Saddam Hussein was to "protect the national interests of the United
States and indeed the interests of people throughout the Middle
East and around the world." (Vaste programme, as General de Gaulle
might have said.) Clinton's words echo George Bush's on the eve
of the Gulf War against Saddam Hussein. "Our role as a world leader
will once again be reaffirmed," wrote President Bush in his diary,
"but if we compromise and if we fail, we would be reduced to total
impotence, and that is not going to happen."
In struggling
to redefine NATO's role now that the Western alliance is no longer
needed to contain a Soviet thrust into Central Europe through the
famed Fulda Gap, the administration is urging its European allies
to embark on a new initiative to combat weapons of mass destruction.
Yet for this new task of fighting terrorism, we presumably need
the same number of carrier battle fleets we deployed during the
Second World War.
In Paris, unofficial
French sources who are well versed in the Quai d'Orsay's thinking
are skeptical of American protestations that NATO is not to become
an arm of American interests. When I asked one of them what was
the reason for NATO's existence in the post-Cold War world, he replied,
"To keep the United States in Europe. America wants to be in Europe
and wants to control NATO." Moreover, he says, the United States
"deliberately manipulates NATO by splitting the allies and threatening
to withdraw its troops" if the allies don't fall in line with Washington's
thinking.
European anxiety
about American purpose reflects the paradox of American power. Congress
proposes to spend vast sums on the military, including substantial
pay raises and benefits for its personnel, but is reluctant to put
troops "in harm's way." And the big-ticket items the service chiefs
demand are ill-suited for the wars against terrorism and small-bore
conflicts that seem most likely to require great-power intervention
in the near future.
Until the United
States makes clear to its constituents at home what role it expects
to play in the new century--and what this implies for military strategy--it
is unlikely that any administration will receive the wholehearted
backing it needs to accomplish its task. What are the costs we are
prepared to bear? How do the monies we spend on the military affect
the monies available to spend on education and health care at home?
American hegemony
is a reality. Rarely do all-powerful nations surrender their predominance
without a struggle. And so we go on, willing to bear the trappings
of military prowess, but unable to define what and who it is we
are protecting. If indeed we are undertaking the role of protector
of the rights of the oppressed and determined to act, whenever feasible,
to right wrongs, we had better say so. And then let the debate over
ends and means begin.
James Chace
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